V.1. WEPP ANALYSIS

This appendix describes the process and results of the quantitative analysis conducted by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) using the Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) model for the Bighorn Basin Resource Management Plan (RMP) revision. The WEPP model was used to predict how management under each alternative would impact erosion in the Planning Area. WEPP simulates the conditions that impact erosion, such as the amount of vegetation canopy and soil water content. Specifically, the BLM used the WEPP model to calculate runoff amounts and erosion rates which were based on a series of parameters designed to estimate conditions in the Planning Area and model the impacts of management actions. The results of the analysis are described in the Soil and Water section of Chapter 4 of the Draft RMP and Environmental Impact Statement.

The WEPP model used by the BLM is a web-based interface designed by the United States Forest Service. The WEPP model can be accessed at: http://forest.moscowfsl.wsu.edu/fswepp/. Erosion rates are inherently difficult to predict, and the rates of erosion predicted by WEPP are within +/-50 percent. Despite this lack of precision, these rates are appropriate for comparing and analyzing impacts of the alternatives on the soil resource. Erosion rates were calculated for different resource programs using surface disturbance acreage figures as projected in Appendix T.

Two modules available in the WEPP interface were used by the BLM to estimate erosion rates: WEPP Road and Disturbed WEPP. The WEPP Road module was used to predict erosion rates for new roads built in the Planning Area over the life of the plan. Disturbed WEPP was used to estimate runoff amounts and all other erosion rates as a result of surface-disturbing activity in the Planning Area. WEPP allows users to predict erosion rates for numerous forest and rangeland erosion conditions. In order to estimate these conditions, the BLM used certain assumptions and input parameters for the analysis.

Climate parameters used by the WEPP model were developed using Worland, Wyoming precipitation data at 5,000 feet of elevation in order to represent the entire Planning Area. Both the Disturbed WEPP and WEPP Road modules are limited to four soil textures (clay loam, silt loam, sandy loam, and loam); a loam soil texture was used for all erosion predictions.

All WEPP erosion analyses were conducted using a 50-year simulation to represent the return interval.

The following parameters were used to simulate conditions in the Planning Area:

In addition to simulating conditions in the Planning Area the BLM needed to model the conditions for short-term and long-term surface disturbances. Disturbed WEPP has eight vegetative treatment options available: 20-year-old forest, 5-year-old forest, shrub-dominated rangeland, tall-grass prairie, short-grass prairie, low-severity fire, high-severity fire, and skid trail. By adjusting cover parameters, these vegetative treatment options can be applied to a wide variety of vegetative communities and land uses. In order to simulate short-term and long-term disturbances, the following vegetation treatment and cover parameters were used:

The WEPP model, using these input parameters, calculated an initial average erosion rate of 4.165 tons per acre per year for short-term disturbances and a rate of 1.602 tons per acre per year for post-reclamation disturbances in the long term. Runoff amounts were calculated using the same parameters. The WEPP model estimated that areas impacted by short-term surface disturbance would experience 0.34 inches of runoff per year, and in the long term, average runoff would drop to .19 inches per year. The WEPP model estimated that with no disturbance there would be only trace amounts of annual runoff.

The WEPP Road module simulates road conditions using options for road design, road surface, and traffic level. Road design has four options including insloped, bare ditch; insloped, vegetated or rocked ditch; outsloped, rutted; and outsloped, unrutted. WEPP Road module options for road surface include native, graveled, or paved, and traffic level can be represented by a high, low, or no traffic option. For this analysis, the insloped, bare ditch road design, native road surface, and high traffic level were used. Using these parameters, the BLM calculated the erosion rate associated with road development to be 292.4 pounds per year per 200 foot long, 12 foot wide stretch of road.

Using these average erosion rates and the surface disturbance acreage figures as projected in Appendix T, the BLM calculated the erosion figures displayed in Table V-1.

Table V.1. Summary of Projected Tons of Erosion by Resource from BLM Actions

Type of Disturbance

Alternative A

Alternative B

Alternative C

Alternative D

Mineral Resources – Leasable Oil and Gas (includes CBNG)

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

14,119

6,360

15,706

12,895

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

2,193

988

2,435

1,996

Mineral Resources – Locatable Minerals

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

83,300

62,475

83,300

83,300

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

16,020

8,010

16,020

16,020

Mineral Resources – Salable Minerals

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

8,330

3,332

8,330

7,497

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

2,563

961

2,563

2,163

Mineral Resources – Other Solid Leasables

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

0

0

0

0

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Mineral Resources – Leasable Geothermal

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

0

0

0

0

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Fire and Fuels Management1,2

Prescribed Fire

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

166,600

83,300

333,200

166,600

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Mechanical Fuels Treatment

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

124,950

20,825

249,900

124,950

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Forest, Woodlands, and Forest Products

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

124,950

83,300

166,600

124,950

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Invasive Species3

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

8,330

417

16,660

8,330

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Fish and Wildlife Resources

Fisheries and Stream Enhancement Activities

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

0

379

0

0

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Watershed Enhancement Projects

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

3,253

6,506

1,629

3,253

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

370

740

266

370

Health and Safety – Abandoned Facilities and AML

Abandoned Facilities

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

833

833

833

833

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Abandoned Mine Lands Restoration

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

0

0

0

0

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Paleontological

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

833

1,041

833

833

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

80

160

80

80

Renewable Energy – Wind Energy Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

833

833

833

833

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

80

80

80

80

Rights-of-Way (ROW)

Telephone and Fiber Optics

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

908

900

908

908

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Pipelines (Mineral and Water)4

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

12,283

9,146

12,916

12,283

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

0

0

0

0

Roads5,6

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

5,217

3,261

12,307

5,217

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

2,608

1,632

6,154

2,608

Powerlines

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

1,408

954

1,495

1,408

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

2

2

2

2

Communication Sites

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

42

42

42

42

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

16

16

16

16

Other Facilities7

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

875

396

970

875

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

336

152

373

336

Comprehensive Trails and Travel Management

Motorized Vehicle Use

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

5,135

11,562

53,758

24,240

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

1,338

1,711

20,401

6,313

Recreation

Recreational Site Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

1,456

9,384

53,374

1,456

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

560

3,609

20,530

560

Livestock Grazing

Spring Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

21

10

42

21

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

2

1

8

2

Pipeline Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

250

125

500

250

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

4

2

8

4

Reservoir/Pit Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

167

83

333

167

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

8

4

16

8

Fence Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

1,041

521

2,083

1,041

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

16

8

32

16

Well Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

21

10

42

21

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

2

1

3

2

Reservoir Maintenance Development

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

42

21

83

42

Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

3

2

6

3

Cumulative Disturbance

Total Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Short Term

568,166

307,873

1,023,686

585,214

Total Tons of Erosion from Disturbance in Long Term

25,167

17,432

66,555

29,546

1 Acres disturbed by mechanical fuels treatment and prescribed fire will naturally be reclaimed within 5 years. Therefore long-term erosion will be zero.

2 Includes range enhancements and other wildlife habitat restoration actions.

3 Surface disturbance activities resulting from invasive species projects will be naturally reclaimed within 5 years. Therefore long-term erosion will be zero.

4 Actions would likely be mostly oil and gas related, including carbon dioxide and energy pipeline.

5 Calculated using WEPP Road module and parameters.

6 Approximately 50 percent of roads would be oil and gas related, with the rest coming from local demand.

7 Actions would likely be mostly oil and gas related.

AML Abandoned Mine Land

BLM Bureau of Land Management

CBNG coalbed natural gas

WEPP Water Erosion Prediction Project